Climate case study – Mount Gambier, SA, in 2050
See how the new Forest Climate Risk Tool enables us to ascertain likely changes to temperature, rainfall, days of extreme heat and high fire danger. With this information, further modelling suggests a likely reduction in harvest.
Case study – Mount Gambier, SA, in 2050 (most likely scenario) compared to the previous 30 years.
- Two degrees increase in annual temperature – 16 degrees in 2050 vs 14 degrees now.
- Five per cent reduction in annual rain – 763mm in 2050 vs 803mm now.
- Four more high fire danger days per year – 31 in 2050 vs 27 a year now.
- Five more days over 35 degrees per year – 12 in 2050 vs 7 a year now.
Using this information, further modelling outside the Forest Climate Risk Tool suggests there is likely to be a reduction of between five and 15 per cent in total volume at harvest in 2050, compared with that which would occur if the current climate continued unchanged.
See details on the tool here
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